Thursday, August 13, 2009

Rezultatul chestionarului "CREDETI CA INTELEGEREA EVOLUTIEI VA POATE SCHIMBA VIATA DE ZI CU ZI?" (II)

Dupa cum am promis, revin cu analize si completari pe marginea rezultatului chestionarului "Credeti ca intelegerea evolutiei va poate schimba viata de zi cu zi?". Chestionarul poate fi completat in continuare in coloana din dreapta a blog-ului, graficele actualizandu-se automat, in functie de aceste raspunsuri.
Inainte de toate, cateva precizari. Nu am pretentia ca rezultatul chestionarului este reprezentativ la nivel de tara, sau la nivel de zona geografica, etc. In primul rand, esantionul nu este aleatoriu. Este ca si cum ai intra intr-o carciuma, si i-ai intreba pe cei de fata daca le place alcoolul. Nu. Rezultatele sunt reprezentative doar pentru cititorii acestui blog (chiar si asa cu anumite rezerve datorita esantionului mic deocamdata).
Acestea fiind spuse, sa trecem la treaba. Intai de toate, am defalcat tabelul care centralizeaza toate datele in doua tabele: unul corespunzator raspunsului "Da" la intrebarea principala ("Credeti ca intelegerea evolutiei va poate schimba viata de zi cu zi?"), respectiv unul corespunzator raspunsului "Nu" la aceeasi intrebare. Iata rezultatul.




Dupa cum se poate observa in primul grafic, numarul celor care cred ca intelegerea evolutiei le poate schimba viata este mult mai mare la toate categoriile de varsta. Din graficul 2 reiese ca, pe masura ce creste varsta, creste usor si inclinatia de a da raspuns negativ la intrebare. Cu alte cuvinte cei tineri sunt mai convinsi ca intelegerea evolutiei le poate schimba viata decat cei cu varsta mai inaintata.




Dupa cum se poate observa, in cazul tuturor nivelurilor de studiu, cei care sunt de parere ca intelegerea evolutiei le poate schimba viata sunt mult mai numerosi. Cu toate acestea, daca privim ponderea fiecarui nivel de studiu raportat la tipul de raspuns, putem trage niste concluzii deosebit de interesante, si neasteptate. Astfel, asteptarile au fost confirmate in cazul nivelurilor de studiu inferioare (profesional, liceal, mediu), la fel si in cazul nivelului de studiu superior. Surpriza vine in ceea ce priveste studiile postuniversitare, unde ne-am astepta ca ponderea celor ce dau raspuns negativ sa fie mai mica, cand (surpriza!) in realitate ea este mai mare decat in cazul raspunsului afirmativ. Acest lucru poate fi pus si pe seama esantionului mic deocamdata.



Sexul masculin este mai predispus sa considere ca evolutia ii poate schimba viata de zi cu zi decat sexul feminin.



Faptul ca familia practica sau nu credinta influenteaza nu cum ne-am astepta, ci in mod negativ opiniile respondentilor. Cei care au raspuns afirmativ provin in majoritate din familii (crestine) practicante, in timp ce cei care au raspuns negativ provin in si mai mare majoritate din familii nepracticante.





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68 comments:

Anonymous said...

Interesant studiul tau, insa eantionul tau nu este suficient de consistent si nici corect distribuit.

De exemplu' in graficul categoriilor de varsta se vede ca au fost chestionati doar cateva zeci de subiecti. In plus numarul de subiecti (obtinut adunand nr celor cu DA si NU) este evident mult mai mare in categoria celor de 20-30 de ani spre deosebire de alte varste, lasand impresia gresita ca subiectii de 2-30 raspund preponderent la intrebare.

Poti spune ca nu sunt in grafic cei care au raspuns cu "Nu stiu" la intrebare, insa omiterea lor este neadecvata in prezentarea empirica a datelor.


Si ca sa nu las impresie gresita: cred ca intrebarea si sondajul tau poate duce la un rezulatt interesant, insa repet esantionul tau trebuie sa contina un nr consistent de subiecti.

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Am recunoscut si eu lipsurile de care sufera sondajul. Intentionat am omis pe cei care au raspuns "Nu stiu", considerand ca sunt nesemnificativi pentru ceea ce urmaream. Sper ca in timp esantionul sa fie suficient de consistent. De fapt, el se actualizeaza periodic. MA bucur ca ai observat ca cei cu varsta de 20-30 de ani au raspuns preponderent la intrebare, si chiar asa si este... insa nu vad care este problema.
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nevoia de a verifica:)

mitca dumitru said...
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gyges77 said...

Stimate domnule Mica Dumitru, cu parere de rau trebuie sa va atentionez ca nu eu sunt cel care imparte lumea, ci dumneavoastra. Mai bine zis, imparte, dar nu anatemizeaza. Dumneavoastra sunteti cel care anatemizeaza. Eu pur si simplu nu fac altceva decat sa constat o parere sau alta, fara s-o etichetez ca fiind buna sau rea. Eu gandesc stiintific, dumneavostra ganditi ideologic. Nu vad unde este tendentiosul in sensul intrebarii. Tendentios inseamna cand incerci sa fortezi un raspuns anume. Cei care au respuns la chestionar au toata libertatea sa raspunda intr-un sens sau altul. Anonimitatea le confera aceasta oportunitate. Categoriile pe care le-ati enuntat va apartin in intregime dumneavostra si au o valoare pur subiectiva. Nu mi le imputati mie. Eu nu judec, eu constat. Din comentariul d-voastra reiese ca dumneavostra sunteti cel care judeca, iar cei ce judeca vor fi judecati la randul lor. Daca nu va place intrebarea, va rog s-o ignorati. Daca va place, va rog sa raspundeti cu "Da" sau "Nu" sau "Nu stiu". O zi buna.

Anonymous said...

Aceasta tema este pur si simplu fara pereche:), este foarte interesant pentru mine:P Bravo !! vreau sa mai vad in continuare discutii pe tema asta!

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gyges77 said...

Domnule Mitca Dumitru, sfintia Sa Papa recunoaste teoria evolutionista ca fiind valida. D-voastra de ce nu puteti? As dori sa postez niste comentarii pe blogul d-voastra, dar se pare ca nu tolerati discutia in contradictoriu.

Anonymous said...

"Intentionat am omis pe cei care au raspuns "Nu stiu", considerand ca sunt nesemnificativi pentru ceea ce urmaream. Sper ca in timp esantionul sa fie suficient de consistent. De fapt, el se actualizeaza periodic. MA bucur ca ai observat ca cei cu varsta de 20-30 de ani au raspuns preponderent la intrebare, si chiar asa si este... insa nu vad care este problema."


Pai sondajul tau chestioneaza "daca intelegerea evolutiei va schimba viata": in cazul asta omiterea datelor cu cei care nu stiu este evident nejustificata; Daca, de exemplu, ei sunt foarte multi, sondajul tau chiar DA UN REZULTAT, adica "foarte multa lume nu stie/sau recunoaste ca nu vede legatura dintre teoria evolutiie si viata lor personala"!

Trunchierea datelor pe criteriul ca ti se pare "nerelevant" este nejustificata stiintific! Poti insa "manari datele" dupa ce faci o interpretare a lor, pe baza careia sa sustii de ce omiterea lor este nerelevanta, insa si in acest caz trebuie sa dai detalii legate de procesarea lor!

Darwin said...

Sunt tot io cel care a comentat legat de relevanta omiterii cu cei care "nu stiu"!

Uite, io de exemplu am studii superioare, sunt convins ca teoria lui Darwin este justa, nu am nici un fel de perceptii religioase, pentru ca sunt agnostic, insa sunt preocupat de problema "cum este perceputa stiinta de mase."

Totusi, in ciuda acestui fapt, felul cum este pusa intrebarea "credetzi ca INTELEGEREA..." poate fi gresita.


De pilda, io nu am nici o intelegere legat de electronica, si totusi stiu cum sa folosesc un televizor; Prin urmare, desi electronica imi schimba viata de zi cu zi,prin folosirea aparatelor TV, radio, un nou tip de mobil, un laptop cu conexiune wireless... este evident ca INTELEGEREA principiului prin care functioneaza aceste aparate este nerelevanta!

Din acest motiv chestionez cam ce fel de bias se strecoara in statistica ta!

Care sunt cei care iti raspund cu "DA" sau "NU"? Sunt specialisti in domeniu?

Cine sunt cei care raspund cu "NU": sunt religiosi habotnici sau sunt "useri" onesti ca mine? De pilda, daca as fi cu studii superioare, dar practic arhitectura, ignoranta mea fata de Darwin este perfect justificata, si totusi, cand sunt bolnav ma duc la doctor... pentru ca da medicina a avut beneficii semnificative din darwinism, dar io ca arhitect n-am de unde sa stiu asta! :)

Intelegi intrebarea mea?

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Am găsit întâmplător blogul tău, am citit câteva articole şi nu am vrut să ies înainte să te felicit – mi-a plăcut mult ce am găsit aici. Am fost atras de subiectele interesante si de originalitatea articolelor. Felicitari ! Noi promovăm la radio diferite articole ale bloggerilor, iar azi am promovat un articol de-al tău; am specificat sursa articolului şi am deschis şi un subiect pe baza acestuia. Dacă doresti, poţi să ne recomanzi orice articol, iar noi îl vom promova.
Ne-ar face plăcere să ştim că ai dori să ne susţii în acest proiect de radio şi să accepţi o eventuală colaborare.
M-am gândit aşadar să vin cu o propunere:
Pe Radio Whisper se difuzează toate genurile de muzică, exceptând manele şi piese necenzurate. Avem şi câteva emisiuni, ştiri etc. Ne-am propus să realizăm un proiect mare, iar pentru asta avem nevoie de susţinerea şi ajutorul tău şi al celorlalţi colegi bloggeri. Dorim să creăm o echipă cât mai complexă de oameni cu un talent aparte şi m-am gândit că poate ai vrea sa ni te alături şi să colaborăm (binenţeles, pe unul dintre domeniile care îţi place). Dorim de asemenea să îţi acordăm un scurt interviu. Pentru noi sunt importante ideile şi modul de a gândi al bloggerilor şi al ascultatorilor noştri.
Îti multumesc pentru timpul acordat, iar acum îti propun sa adaugi linkul sau bannerul nostru pe blogul tău şi să ne dai add la id-ul asculta.whisper sau un e-mail, tot la asculta.whisper@yahoo.com, pentru a discuta mai multe.

www.radiowhisper.com
Multumesc,
Cu stimă Vlad!

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